For the first time in years, Al-Shabaab has abandoned a signature show of force—its military parades on Eid day. These displays, once a symbol of the group’s strength, have vanished from areas under their control.
Reports suggest this sudden change is linked to the relentless airstrikes targeting the militant group. The Somali government and its international allies have intensified aerial assaults on Al-Shabaab strongholds, making public gatherings too risky for the group’s fighters and leaders.
In past years, Al-Shabaab used these parades to flaunt their military power, but this Eid, no fighters or commanders were seen in public. Even in their key strongholds—such as Jilib, Galhareeri, and Buq’aqable—there was an eerie absence of the group’s presence. Instead, Al-Shabaab leaders resorted to releasing audio messages rather than appearing in person.
Meanwhile, in Middle Shabelle, where fierce battles are ongoing between Al-Shabaab and government forces, the group has remained unusually silent about Eid celebrations. This absence of public engagement has fueled speculation that the sustained airstrikes and military operations have significantly weakened Al-Shabaab’s ability to operate openly.
With the group’s leaders in hiding and their traditional displays of power canceled, the question remains: Is this the beginning of their decline, or just a temporary retreat?
